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从发达国家基本经验来看,我国重化工业至少要持续十年左右的时间。在重化工业时期,我国港口货物吞吐量对GDP的需求弹性系数逐渐提高到2～2.7。如果未来十年中国GDP的增长速度维持在7%,港口货物吞吐量将会以14%～18.9%速度增长由于中国经济发展水平与对外经贸活动存在区域不平衡,长三角与珠三角经济区的经济相对发达,并且这两个地区的对外经贸活动是在中国对外经贸中占有很高的比重,这决定了长三角与珠三角地区的港口货物的吞吐量会以更高的速度增长,处于长三角与珠三角地区的上港集箱与盐田港的盈利潜力更加可观
From the basic experience of developed countries, China’s heavy chemical industry for at least ten years or so. During the period of heavy chemical industry, the elasticity of demand for goods handled by the port in our country to GDP gradually increased to 2 ~ 2.7. If the growth rate of China’s GDP maintains at 7% over the next ten years, the throughput of port cargoes will grow at a rate of 14% -18.9%. Due to the regional imbalance between the economic development level of China and its foreign economic and trade activities, the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta Economic Zone The relatively developed economy and the fact that foreign trade and economic cooperation in these two regions account for a very high proportion of China’s foreign trade and economic cooperation have determined that the throughput of port cargoes in the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta regions will grow at a relatively high rate and remain at a long The profit potential of the Hong Kong Container Terminal and Yantian Port in the Triangle and Pearl River Delta regions is even more substantial