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TTB(临时性贸易壁垒)作为WTO许可的贸易救济措施,目前正在全球范围各个国家、产业以不同方式增长。文章运用1989—2012年全球农业TTB的HS8分位产品层面数据,在考虑贸易伙伴双边关系的国家对固定效应及随时间而变的共同系统性因素基础上,本文对农业TTB与宏观经济变量的关系进行了研究,发现农业作为一个具有特殊属性的产业,其TTB从总体样本来看基本类似工业具有反周期特征,但影响的程度有差异,而发展中国家样本体现出更多异质性特征,本文是从存量角度的进行研究,考虑到未来农业TTB可能的增量,后续研究势在必行。
TTB (Temporary Trade Barrier) As a trade remedy approved by the WTO, it is currently in different countries and industries in different parts of the world. Based on the HS8 quantile product level data of global agricultural TTB from 1989 to 2012, based on the fixed effects and the common systemic factors of countries with bilateral relations of trading partners, this paper analyzes the relationship between agricultural TTB and macroeconomic variables It is found that the agricultural industry as an industry with special attributes, the TTB generally has the counter-cyclical characteristics from the overall sample, but the degree of influence is different, while the samples from developing countries show more heterogeneity , This article is from the stock perspective, considering future possible increment of agricultural TTB, follow-up study is imperative.