在亚洲金融危机爆发两周年之际,越来越多的迹象表明,亚洲经济已扭转萎缩的局面,进入了复苏轨道。 首先,动荡了一年多的亚洲金融市场已经基本恢复稳定。今年初以来,亚洲金融市场先后受到了欧元启动、巴西货币贬值、日元汇率再度下跌等因素的影响,但是人们曾担心的新一轮金融动荡并未出现。相反,泰国、菲律宾、印尼、韩国等国的货币汇率同危机最严重时相比,已分别反弹了20％至80％左右,并开始逐步脱离外来因素的制约。作为经济复苏先兆的亚洲股市,今年上半年总体上是升多跌少。4月份后,受本地区经济形势好转、外资回流、利率下降等因素的激励,多数 As the second anniversary of the Asian financial crisis broke out, more and more signs showed that the Asian economy has reversed its atrophy and has entered a recovery track. First, the financial markets in Asia, which has been in turmoil for more than a year, have basically stabilized. Since the beginning of this year, the Asian financial markets have been influenced by factors such as the start of the euro, the devaluation of the Brazilian currency and the fall of the yen exchange rate. However, the new round of financial turmoil that people have been concerned about did not occur. On the contrary, the exchange rates of currencies of Thailand, the Philippines, Indonesia, South Korea and other countries have rebounded by 20% to 80% respectively compared with the worst of the crisis, and are gradually getting rid of the external factors. As the precursor of the economic recovery, the Asian stock markets generally rose more or less in the first half of this year. After April, motivated by the improvement of the economic situation in the region, the return of foreign investment and the declining interest rates, most