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基于相同光照区域的光伏电站预测及发电数据,结合储能出力模型,运行仿真得到较为真实的光储上网电量、考核成本等;建立基于全寿命周期理论的收益、成本函数,构建光储成本电价模型,并结合现行电价政策提出光储电站投资可行性决策方法;对多种因素进行敏感性分析,构建投资临界面,得出投资可以获得预期收益时的临界条件,为光储电站项目的投资决策及国家相关电价政策的制定提供科学判据。
Based on the forecast and power generation data of photovoltaic power plants in the same illumination area, combined with the model of energy storage and discharge, the simulation and operation simulation results in a more realistic power storage and examination cost, and the profit and cost function based on life cycle theory are established. Model, combined with the current electricity price policy proposed optical storage plant investment feasibility decision-making methods; sensitivity analysis of many factors to build the investment interface, the investment can get the expected return when the critical conditions for the optical storage project investment Decision-making and the formulation of national electricity price policy to provide scientific evidence.