2011年生猪市场回顾与2012年展望

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2011年,猪价大幅攀升,生猪养殖行业利润丰厚,是养殖业“黄金年”.生猪结构性出栏减少,供需缺口扩大导致猪价上升,伴随着强劲的猪价,高通胀、高疫情、高成本、高风险亦如影随形.高盈利、强扶持政策已不能如往年一样有效刺激散养户的补栏脚步,反而使大量养殖户弃养或陷入深度观望中.这样盈利周期或将延长,但丰厚的盈利期已经过去,随着新进产能逐渐恢复,生猪市场或将步入周期性下行通道.
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