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2005年,受供需关系基本平衡的影响,我国玉米价格上涨幅度将受到限制,市场价格运行总趋势将呈现平稳态势。但由于国有玉米库存数量不断下降,玉米价格容易受到市场因素影响,价格变化将更加活跃。特别是二等玉米,在饲料需求和期货交割的影响将得到市场的追捧。在没有大的自然灾害影响下,在2005年新玉米上市前,我国产区玉米价格将随成本增加稳步上升;销区玉米价格除了受产区影响外,区域性供需矛盾将成为影响价格的关键。
In 2005, affected by the basic balance between supply and demand, the rate of increase of corn prices in China will be limited and the general trend of market price operation will be in a steady state. However, due to the continuous decline in the stocks of state-owned corn, the price of corn will be easily affected by market factors and the price changes will be more active. In particular, second-class corn, the impact of feed demand and futures delivery will be sought after by the market. In the absence of major natural disasters, before the listing of new maize in 2005, the price of maize in our producing areas will increase steadily with the increase of costs. Except for the maize prices in the sales areas, the contradiction between regional supply and demand will become the key factor affecting the prices .