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在现有单体建筑空调负荷预测的研究基础之上,分析区域建筑群实时空调负荷的特点,确定了区域建筑群实时空调负荷的影响因子,并对武汉某区域能源站的逐时空调负荷进行了预测。将室外气象参数、不同功能建筑的影响因素作为输入端,把25 d的历史数据作为样本参数进行训练,并对预测日24 h的空调负荷进行预测,将工作日和周末的负荷预测结果进行了对比分析,发现负荷预测值与实际值较吻合,可以作为其他区域能源站的参考。
Based on the research on air conditioning load forecasting of existing single buildings, the paper analyzes the characteristics of real-time air conditioning load of regional buildings and determines the impact factors of real-time air conditioning load of regional buildings. The hourly air conditioning load of energy stations in a certain area of Wuhan Predicted. Taking the outdoor meteorological parameters and influential factors of different functional buildings as input end, the historical data of 25 days are taken as the sample parameters to train, and the air conditioning load of 24 h on the prediction day is predicted, and the load forecasting results of the working day and the weekend are carried out The comparative analysis shows that the load forecasting value is in good agreement with the actual value and can be used as a reference for other regional energy stations.