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本文主要介绍了在政府十一五、十二五规划都将新一代信息产业,移动通信产业列为重点发展行业的背景下,运营商自去年开始正式上线的3G业务发展状况,主要介绍了3G基础设施建设,用户增长情况,3大运营商特点等情况。并收集了自去年9月至今年10月中国移动与中国联通每月新增3G用户人数,通过该数据建立ARMA模型来估计3G用户的增长情况,最后通过对比日本移动通信运营商DOCOMO自2001年以来的3G用户增长状况,以此判断我国的3G用户未来增长的大致趋势。
This article mainly introduces that in the 11th Five-Year Plan and 12th Five-Year Plan of the government, the new generation of information industry and mobile communication industry will be listed as the key developing industries. The development of 3G service launched formally by the operators since last year mainly introduces the 3G Infrastructure construction, user growth, the characteristics of the three major carriers and so on. And collected from September last year to October this year, China Mobile and China Unicom monthly new 3G subscribers, ARMA model to establish this data to estimate the growth of 3G subscribers, and finally by comparing the Japanese mobile telecommunications operator DOCOMO since 2001 3G users since the growth of the state, in order to determine the general trend of future 3G users in China.