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2010年1季度,在国内粮食生产连续6年丰收,国内供给充足,国家政策调控力度不断加大的大背景下,国内粮油市场总体保持了平稳运行的走势。1季度,小麦市场在国家继续提高2010年最低收购价格的政策支持及国家持续投放托市小麦以满足市场需求的充足供应下,基本保持了高位小幅震荡的走势。虽然西南5省及北方部分地区出现旱灾,但由于小麦供应充足,小麦市场价格并未受到太大的影响。1季度,在国家新的玉米临时收储政策的支持下,国内产销区玉米价格保持了高位运行态势,特别是产区玉米市场受深加工企业不断上调收购价格及农民惜售情绪的影响,收购价格持续走高,从而对南方销区玉米价格提供了较强的支撑,导致南方市场玉米价格虽然需求一般,但价格也出现了一定幅度的上涨。国家有关部门宣布大幅度提高2010年稻谷最低收购价,给1季度的稻米市场价格以有力提振,三大稻谷品种价格联袂走高,特别是粳稻米价格受自身供求相对紧张的影响出现了较大幅度的上涨行情,而籼稻米市场在政策支持及西南干旱的刺激下也出现了一定幅度的上涨。2010年1季度,国内大豆市场波澜不惊,虽然有国家临时收储价格的支撑,但在较低进口成本的进口大豆的冲击下,国产大豆压榨企业停产现象普遍,国内大豆收购市场成交清淡,农民惜售与收购企业观望现象严重。由于国内食用油需求一般,而供给充足,1季度国内食用油市场价格在外盘的带动下,宽幅波动,总体保持了较为疲软的走势。
In the first quarter of 2010, under the backdrop of continuous harvest of domestic grain production for six consecutive years, adequate domestic supply and intensified national policy control, the domestic grain and oil market as a whole maintained a steady trend. In the first quarter, the wheat market basically maintained the trend of high and small turbulence with the policy support of the country in continuing to raise the minimum purchase price in 2010 and the sufficient supply of the country’s sustained market wheat supply to meet market demand. Although five provinces in southwest China and parts of northern China have experienced drought, the market price of wheat has not been significantly affected due to sufficient supply of wheat. In the first quarter, with the support of the state’s new temporary corn purchase and storage policy, the domestic corn price in the production and sales area maintained a high operation trend. In particular, the corn market in the producing areas was affected by the continuous increase in the purchase price and reluctant sentiment of farmers, and the purchase price continued Higher, thus providing strong support for the sales price of maize in the southern part of the country. As a result, the price of maize in the southern market was generally in demand, but the price also showed a certain rise. Relevant departments of the state announced a substantial increase in the minimum purchase price of paddy in 2010, giving a strong boost to the market price of rice in the first quarter and a rise in the prices of the three paddy varieties. In particular, the price of japonica rice has been greatly affected by its relative tight supply and demand However, the market for indica rice has also risen to some extent under the policy support and the stimulation from the southwest drought. In the first quarter of 2010, the soybean market in China was placid. Although there was support from the country’s temporary purchasing and storage prices, due to the impact of imported soybeans with lower import costs, the domestic soybean crushing enterprises stopped production in general and the domestic soybean takeover market was light, Reluctant sellers and acquisitions of farmers wait and see phenomenon is serious. Due to the general demand for domestic edible oil and sufficient supply, the market prices of domestic edible oil in the first quarter were broadly volatile, driven by external disks and generally maintained a relatively weak trend.