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通过GLS估计方法建立中国旅游业线性模型和索洛余值增长模型,发现中国旅游产业的增长很大程度上源于资本、劳动力投入的增长、要素利用率的提高而非技术进步,仍然处于投资驱动型增长模式。要实现中国旅游产业的持续快速发展,转变旅游经济增长方式,加大技术进步贡献率是关键。通过对目前影响旅游产业增长中技术进步的五大影响因素进行分析,进一步验证了上述旅游产业增长模型的实证研究结果,即我国目前旅游产业的技术发展状况尚无法形成对产业增长的足够支持,要实现技术在旅游产业增长中的贡献率,技术创新和制度创新尤为重要。
Through the GLS estimation method to establish China’s tourism linear model and Solow residual growth model, it is found that the growth of China’s tourism industry is largely due to the increase of capital and labor input, the improvement of factor utilization rather than technological progress, Driven growth model. In order to achieve the sustained and rapid development of China’s tourism industry, it is crucial to change the mode of tourism economic growth and increase the contribution rate of technological progress. Through the analysis of the five influencing factors that affect the technological progress in the growth of tourism industry at present, we further verify the empirical research on the growth model of tourism industry as mentioned above. At present, the technological development of tourism industry in our country still can not form enough support for industrial growth. It is particularly important to realize the contribution of technology in the growth of tourism industry, technological innovation and system innovation.