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读到安邦咨询的一篇文章,题目叫作《高城市化率与经济发达并无必然联系》。认真读了几遍,总是觉得不甚了然。文中列出类似阿根廷这样的国家,经济并不算发达但城市化率很高。或许有这样的案例,但反过来并没有事实支持,发达国家的城市化率很低。或许应当这样理解:在正常状态下,随着工业化水平的提高,城市化率必然相应提高。衡量一国经济的发达程度,最硬的两个结构性指标,一是产业结构的三次产业比例,是一二三、二三一,还是三二一?二是人口
Read an article in Anbang consulting, entitled “high urbanization rate and economic development is not necessarily linked.” Read it several times, always feel not quite understand. The article lists countries like Argentina, the economy is not developed but the high rate of urbanization. There may be such a case, but in fact there is no factual support for the developed countries, the rate of urbanization is very low. Perhaps it should be understood as follows: Under normal conditions, as the level of industrialization increases, the urbanization rate must be correspondingly increased. The measure of a country’s economic development, the two most hard-line structural indicators, one is the industrial structure of the three industries, one two three, two three one, or three two one two is the population