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以城市群轨道交通方式划分为研究对象,根据城市群轨道交通特点,提出将城市群客流分为城区客流和城际客流,分别预测其轨道交通分担率.利用非集计模型的基础理论,选取时间、费用与个人收入的比值作为效用函数的特性变量,以交通行为调查的RP和SP联合数据为基础,建立了应用于城市群交通方式划分的非集计模型.并以长株潭城际轨道交通方式划分为例,进行了参数估计和轨道交通分担率的预测.
Based on the characteristics of urban mass transit, this paper proposes dividing the passenger flow of urban agglomeration into urban passenger flow and inter-city passenger flow, and predicting the share of rail transit respectively.Using the basic theory of non-aggregate accounting model, Time, cost and personal income as the characteristic variables of utility function, based on the joint data of RP and SP of traffic behavior investigation, a non-statistical model for traffic grouping in urban agglomeration is established, As an example, the rail transit mode is divided into three parts: parameter estimation and prediction of rail transit sharing rate.