把怀疑论和现实世界里的决策做结合。也是唯一一群把哲学用在有用的地方的人。历史应该是:尽量记录事实,尽量不去解释或提出理论,描述事实,不要谈为什么,并拒绝做泛化推论。而这种非理论性的知识形式,却遭到中世纪士林学派所贬抑,士林学派喜欢更明确的学习。历史只是记录事实,比哲学或科学低等。在那之前,即使是哲学,和决策智慧的关系程度也比今天密切,而黑天鹅的存在寓意着不可预测的重大稀有事件,它在意料之外,却又改变一切。 Combine skepticism with decision-making in the real world. It is also the only group of people who use philosophy in useful places. History should be: try to record the facts, try not to explain or put forward the theory, describe the facts, do not talk about why, and refuse to do generalization inference. However, this non-theoretical form of knowledge was belittled by the Shihlin school in the Middle Ages, and Shihlin school preferred clearer learning. History merely records the truth, lower than philosophy or science. Until then, even philosophy and the wisdom of decision-making were closer than they are today, and the existence of the Black Swan implied a rare and unpredictable rare event that unexpectedly changed everything.