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我国经济运行在20世纪90年代的波动曲线已经完成。我国在克服亚洲金融危机的影响与抵御国内特大洪水的过程中,我国经济增长率的特点是:既没有出现东亚国家那样严重的负增长,也没有重蹈我国历史上大起大落的覆辙;虽然经济仍然保持一个较高的位势,但却处于连续7年的下滑态势之中。 改革20多年来,我国经济运行的背景条件已经和正在发生着深刻的变化,在诸多的影响经济走势变量因素中,如果不考虑制度性、结构性的变化,延用过去的模式与参数,必然会不符合实际。 展望世界经济的发展变化有三个动向值得我们关注:一是在世界范围内的经济结构调整正在加快;二是科技进步
The volatility curve of China’s economic operation in the 1990s has been completed. In our process of overcoming the impact of the Asian financial crisis and resisting the catastrophic floods in our country, our country’s economic growth rate is characterized by neither as serious negative growth as that of East Asian countries, nor as repeating the ups and downs of our history. Although the economy still maintains A higher position, but in a continuous decline for seven years. Over the past 20 years and more, the background conditions for our country’s economic operation have been and are undergoing profound changes. Among the many variables that affect the economic trend, if we do not consider institutional and structural changes and extend past models and parameters, inevitably Will not be realistic. Looking forward to the development and changes in the world economy, there are three trends deserve our attention: First, the world economic restructuring is accelerating; second, scientific and technological progress