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2017年一个主要的市场共识,是全年经济增速达成6.5%的增长目标应该问题不大。我预计全年GDP增速可以达到6.7%,与去年持平;同时认为6.7%的背后,也隐含着全年经济将会呈现前高后低的走势。前高后低的一部分原因,是政策上去年整体回温以后开始有意识的控制,把重点放在防风险上,因此下半年经济下行有一部分是政策主动调整的原因。之所以判断经济走势将呈现前高后低的态势的
A major consensus for the market in 2017 is that it is not a big problem that the growth target of 6.5% for annual economic growth should be reached. I expect the annual GDP growth rate can reach 6.7%, unchanged from last year; also think that behind 6.7%, also implies that the economy will show the trend of high and then low. The reasons for the previous highs and the low ones are part of the reason for the policy to start conscious control after the global warming last year and focus on risk prevention. Therefore, part of the economic downturn in the second half of the year is the reason for the policy proactive adjustment. The reason for judging the economic trend will show the trend of high and low