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2017年的美国经济充满了不确定性。考虑到各种政策的冲击,整体预期偏向负面。在全球经济持续低迷,黑天鹅事件不断的情况下,美国经济相比欧洲和日本,继续维持着相对强劲而稳健的增长趋势。但从更长的时间段看,2016年的美国经济却正处于危机复苏以来第三个小周期的低点,经济增长速度预计比2015年下降1个百分点左右。按照小周期的波动规律,2017年,美国经济有望呈现适度的反弹。特朗普上任后如果进行财
The 2017 American economy is full of uncertainty. Taking into account the impact of various policies, the overall expected bias is negative. In the midst of the global economic downturn and the ongoing Black Swan incident, the U.S. economy has maintained a relatively strong and steady growth trend compared with Europe and Japan. However, over a longer period of time, the U.S. economy in 2016 is now at the low point of the third small cycle since the crisis began. The economic growth rate is expected to drop by 1 percentage point from 2015. In accordance with the law of small cycles, the U.S. economy is expected to show a modest rebound in 2017. If Trump takes office after taking office