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从能源经济发展阶段来看,目前我国大致处在美国1960年左右的水平,处在英、法、德、意、日等5大工业国1970—1980年间的水平。未来20年我国的能源弹性系数潜力为0.6,单位GDP能耗下降速度将趋缓。降低单位GDP能耗与控制能源消费总量并不完全一致,未来10年内强度控制目标应当优先于总量控制目标;减少因建筑物短寿命导致的能源浪费比提高设备用能效率更为紧迫,当前应抓紧研究和出台有助于延长建筑物生命周期的政策体系。
At the stage of energy economy development, at present, our country is roughly at the level of the United States around 1960, at the level of 1970-1980 among the five major industrial countries such as Britain, France, Germany, Italy and Japan. In the next 20 years, our country has a potential energy elasticity coefficient of 0.6, and the rate of energy consumption per unit of GDP will slow down. Reducing the energy consumption per unit of GDP is not exactly the same as controlling the total energy consumption. The goal of intensity control should give priority to the objective of total quantity control within the next 10 years. Reducing the energy waste caused by short-lived buildings is more urgent than increasing the equipment energy efficiency. At present, we should pay close attention to studying and promulgating a policy system that will help prolong the life cycle of buildings.