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进入“新常态”后,我国地方经济出现了严重的分化现象,一些省市保持着稳定的中高速发展,而另一些地区则出现了负增长。本文基于人均GDP和人均财政收入双视角,比较分析“新常态”后我国地方经济分化的现状和特征,探索形成地方经济增长分化局面的双向内生动力源。研究认为,制度初始架构构成演化路径生成机制的内在支撑,技术层面的差异识别与缓慢扩散多向度约束了科技突破与结构变迁的交互力量,经济系统内的创新效应路径分流与动力重塑机制弱化组合引起了地方经济增长趋势分岔。为了实现地方经济的协调发展,一方面要通过构建包容性制度环境,破除传统科技范式,以解除规模报酬递减结构负锁定;另一方面,要通过提高地方经济增长质量,消解经济增长路径依赖性低迷,以增强地方经济对新常态的适应性。
After entering the “new normal”, the local economy of our country experienced a serious polarization. Some provinces and cities maintained a steady high-speed development while others showed negative growth. Based on the dual perspective of per capita GDP and per capita fiscal revenue, this paper analyzes the status quo and characteristics of local economic differentiation after the “new normalism” in China and explores the two-way endogenous dynamic source that forms the differentiation of local economic growth. The research suggests that the initial structure of the system constitutes the inherent support for the generation mechanism of evolutionary path, and the identification and slow diversification of technical level has constrained the interaction strength between technological breakthrough and structural change, the diversion of innovation effect and the mechanism of dynamic remodeling in economic system Weakening the combination of local economic growth caused by the trend of bifurcation. In order to achieve the coordinated development of local economy, on the one hand, we must eliminate the traditional science and technology paradigm and lift the negative lock on the structure of decreasing returns to scale by constructing an inclusive institutional environment; on the other hand, we must eliminate the path dependence of economic growth by improving the quality of local economic growth Downturn to enhance the adaptability of the local economy to the new normal.