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2009年后随着世界各主要经济体相继走出金融危机阴影,世界已进入“后危机”时代。经济形势的变化意味着,危机期间以“大规模、高强度”为特征的总量调控措施理应淡出政策基本面;“结构调整、经济转型”将成为“后危机”时代我国宏观调控政策主线。本文以“后危机”时代河南省产业结构调整、河南产业转型为基本思路,结合刘易斯二元经济理论和库兹涅茨倒U型曲线等基本理论,分析了改革开放后河南产业结构的变迁。进而结合国家的各项产业政策和“后危机”时代河南产业结构调整的一系列问题提出了“后危机”时代河南产业结构调整基本思路。
As the world’s major economies have emerged from the shadow of the financial crisis one after another since 2009, the world has entered an era of “post-crisis”. The changes in the economic situation mean that the total amount of control measures featuring “large-scale and high-intensity” during the crisis should be faded out of the policy fundamentals; and “structural adjustment and economic restructuring” will become the era of “post-crisis” China’s macro-control policy main line. Based on the basic theory of industrial restructuring in Henan Province during the post-crisis era and industrial restructuring in Henan Province, combined with Lewis’ dual economic theory and the inverted U-shaped curve of Kuznets, this paper analyzes the industrial structure of Henan after the reform and opening up change. Then, combining the various industrial policies of our country and a series of questions about the industrial structure adjustment in Henan in the post-crisis era, we put forward the basic idea of Henan industrial restructuring in the post-crisis era.