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依据客观的历史统计数据 ,对南京经济社会发展过程中的各主要经济指标及其相关的重要因素进行了深入地研究 ,找到了这些主要经济指标及其相关重要因素之间的线性与非线性的相互关联关系 ,得到了一些有重要价值的预测结论。本文认为 ,如果我国宏观经济环境继续保持目前的向好势头不变 ,那么 ,在未来的“十五”后期及其“十一·五”期间 ,南京GDP将呈快速、稳步攀升态势 ,固定资产投资规模迅速扩大、工业经济高速增长 ,农林牧渔总产值与农民人均纯收入快速增加 ,财政总收入与第三产业增加值快速、稳步提升 ,社会消费品零售总额与城镇居民人均可支配收入稳步增加 ,外贸进出口强劲 ,利用外资总额高速增长。回顾过去 ,展望未来 ,我们有理由相信 ,在未来的“十一·五”期间 ,南京国民经济总体运行良好 ,各项主要经济社会发展指标稳步攀升 ,呈现良好态势。
Based on objective historical statistics, the author has conducted an in-depth study on the major economic indicators and their related important factors in the process of economic and social development in Nanjing and found out the linear and nonlinear relationship between these major economic indicators and their related important factors Interrelated relations, has been some of the important conclusions of the value of the forecast. This paper argues that if China’s macroeconomic environment continues to maintain its current favorable momentum, then in the future “the Tenth Five-Year” and its “Eleventh Five-Year” period, Nanjing GDP will show a rapid and steady upward trend in fixed assets The total investment in agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery increased rapidly with the rapid increase in industrial output and the rapid increase in the total fiscal revenue and the tertiary industry. The total retail sales of social consumer goods and the per capita disposable income of urban residents increased steadily The import and export of foreign trade are strong, and the total amount of utilized foreign capital is growing rapidly. Looking back on the past and looking forward to the future, we have reason to believe that in the coming “11th Five-Year Plan” period, the national economy in Nanjing will generally perform well and all major indicators of economic and social development have steadily risen and are in a good shape.