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文章采用系统的数据和计算差异化与线性回归分析的方法,对江西省11个城市(1997-2007年)国内、国际旅游业发展差异及其变迁分析。结果显示:江西省国内旅游业发展绝对差异不断增大,相对差异呈下降趋势;国际旅游业发展绝对差异表现不明显,相对差异呈下降趋势,且相对差异一直很大。在存在这种差异的情况下,本文进一步实证分析造成差异的主要原因,结果表明:江西省国内旅游业发展差异主要是由经济发展水平与旅游资源禀赋造成的。而江西省国际旅游业的发展差异主要影响因素是旅游资源禀赋和旅游服务设施质量。
In this paper, we analyze the differences and changes in the development of domestic and international tourism in 11 cities of Jiangxi Province (1997-2007) by using the method of systematic data and computing difference and linear regression analysis. The results show that the absolute difference of the development of domestic tourism in Jiangxi Province keeps increasing while the relative difference shows a decreasing trend. The absolute difference in the development of international tourism is not obvious, the relative difference shows a downward trend, and the relative difference has been great. In the presence of such differences, this paper further empirically analyzes the main causes of the differences. The results show that the differences in the development of domestic tourism in Jiangxi Province are mainly caused by the level of economic development and tourism resource endowments. However, the major influencing factors for the development of international tourism in Jiangxi Province are tourism resource endowments and tourism service facilities.