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中日两国钓鱼岛主权之争不断升级,已将经贸战推上了决策者和民众的选择桌面之上。然而,假如我们在未来要实施对日经济制裁,必须要全面考虑制裁的原则、目标、终结、领域和方式,以成本最小化实现收益最大化,同时避免出现事与愿违的结果。对日经济制裁的基础可以确定的是,假如经贸战最终成为我们不得不作出的抉择,中国有能力通过贸易制裁给予日本较大损害,而付出的代价要小于日本受到的损害。这是因为,中日双边贸易在两国各自贸易总额中所占份额已有明显差异,日本对中日贸易依存度成倍高于中国。而且,从
The escalation of the sovereignty over the Diaoyu Island between China and Japan has brought the economic and trade war to the desktop of choice for policymakers and the general public. However, if we are to implement economic sanctions against Japan in the future, we must fully consider the principles, objectives, endings, areas and ways of sanctions so as to maximize the benefits by minimizing costs while avoiding any unintended consequences. The foundation of the economic sanctions against Japan is that if the economic and trade warfare finally becomes the choice we have to make, China has the ability to impose greater damages on Japan through trade sanctions at a price that is less than the damage done to Japan. This is because the share of bilateral trade between China and Japan in their respective total trade volume has been significantly different. Japan’s trade dependence on China and Japan is double that of China. And, from