一年半前,笔者曾预言三年内北京局部地区房价整体突破5万元,引来骂声无数,只是不幸而言中,只是还不到两年啊(参见《安家》2009年7月刊《癫狂房价:无人能够负责》);两个月前笔者认为“房产税只能是‘核威慑’而不能真启动”(《安家》2010年11月刊),只是,依时局发展趋势判断,笔者的愿望恐怕也只能是镜花水 A year and a half ago, I had predicted that in three years the overall housing price in some areas of Beijing exceeded 50,000 yuan, leading to condemn numerous, but unfortunately, just less than two years ah (see “home” in July 2009 issue of “mad House price: no one can be responsible for ”); two months ago I think “ real estate tax can only be ’nuclear deterrent’ and can not really start ”(“ home ”November 2010 issue), but, , The author’s wish I am afraid it can only be a mirror flower