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本文基于我国与欧盟主要成员国近年来贸易差额、贸易条件、以及国内完全增加值三种指标的计算,比较分析了我国与欧盟各主要成员国的真实贸易情况。得出:虽然我国对欧盟贸易显示顺差,国内完全增加值也优于欧盟,但由于中欧顺差大多来自于附加值比较低的部门,且我国受金融危机影响较大,高技术部门的附加值持续下降,表明我国的出口贸易存在潜在危机。造成这一情况的主要原因,是我国自主创新能力不足、中欧国际分工地位不同等。因此,坚持自主创新和对外贸易转型升级的政策有助于改善这一情况。
Based on the calculation of the three major indexes of the trade balance, terms of trade and the value added of the whole country in recent years, the article analyzes the real trade between our country and the major member states of EU. The conclusion is that although China’s trade surplus with the EU shows a surplus and its domestic full value-added is superior to that of the EU, most of the surplus in the EU comes from sectors with lower added value, and our country is greatly affected by the financial crisis. The added value of the high-tech sector persists Decline, indicating that there is a potential crisis in China’s export trade. The main reason for this is the lack of capacity for independent innovation in our country and the different status of China-EU international division of labor. Therefore, policies that insist on independent innovation and the transformation and upgrading of foreign trade will help to ameliorate the situation.