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2014年年初以来,终端需求增速放缓,经济下行压力加大,但短周期见底信号增多,增长“失速”的可能性不大。与房地产市场分化和产能过剩相关联的金融产品风险开始显露,但演变为系统性风险的概率较低。经济结构有所改善,制造业盈利水平趋稳,就业、CPI等指标尚属正常,经过努力,全年经济增长有望处在预期目标的合理区间。应坚持稳中求进、以稳促进的总基调,在继续实施积极财政政策和稳健货币政策的同时,加
Since the beginning of 2014, the growth of terminal demand has slowed down and the downward pressure on the economy has increased. However, it is unlikely that the increase of the short-term signal and the growth of “stall” will occur. The risks of financial products associated with the real estate market differentiation and overcapacity are beginning to emerge, but the probability of evolving to systemic risk is low. Economic structure has improved, manufacturing profitability stabilized, employment, CPI and other indicators are still normal. Through our efforts, the annual economic growth is expected to be within the reasonable range of expected targets. We should stick to the principle of making progress while maintaining stability, and stabilize the overall tone of promotion. While continuing to implement the proactive fiscal policy and prudent monetary policy,