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当今世界，人们在认识和衡量各种风险方面已越来越在行了，但投资者经常还是会忽略一种或许是最重大的风险，那就是地缘政治风险。 哈佛大学历史学教授弗格森说，这是一类严重的失误。 弗格森最近在为美林管理人士和客户开办的讲座上表示，在分析金融和经济风险时，预测人士往往会忽视地缘政治方面的风险。即使他们考虑到政治因素，他们通常也会局限在个人经验的范围内。
In today’s world, people are getting more and more aware of and measuring various risks, but investors often overlook the one or perhaps the most significant risk that is geopolitical risk. Ferguson, professor of history at Harvard University, said this is a serious mistake. In a recent lecture for management and clients at Merrill Lynch, Ferguson recently said forecasters tend to ignore geopolitical risks when analyzing financial and economic risks. Even if they consider political factors, they are usually limited to personal experience.