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据报道,最近上海天文台经天文观测后预测,厄尔尼诺事件将在今年年末发生。世界气象组织发布的一项新闻公报指出,在未来的几个月里,中部和东部的太平洋热带地区将受到较弱的厄尔尼诺现象影响,专家预测该地区的温度不会很快升高。据笔者的计算,在春分、秋分和近日点太阳引潮力产生的地球各圈层扁率变大对地球排气排液、液态圈层相对固体圈层的差异旋转、潮汐振荡和地球自转速度季节性变化有显著影响。当日、地、月成一线,月球处于近地点,地球处于春分、秋分或近日点,地球扁率发生最大变化,是发生厄尔尼诺事件的天文条件,行星冲日会起强化作用。
According to reports, the astronomical observatory recently predicted by the Shanghai Astronomical Observatory that the El Nino incident will occur at the end of this year. A press communique issued by the World Meteorological Organization pointed out that in the coming months, tropical Pacific in the central and eastern parts of the Pacific will be affected by weaker El Niño and experts predict that the temperature in the area will not rise rapidly. According to the author’s calculation, during the vernal equinoxes, autumn equinoxes and recent tidal instants, the flattening rates of the earth’s rings become greater, which cause the discharge of the earth’s exhaust gas, the differential rotation of the liquid ring relative to the solidosphere, the tidal oscillation and the earth’s rotation speed. Seasonal Changes have a significant impact. On the same day, the Earth and the moon become a front line, the moon is near the earth’s surface, the Earth is at the vernal equinox, the autumn equinox or the near point, and the largest change occurs in the Earth’s flattening rate. This is the astronomical condition in which the El Niño event occurs.