预计到2011年,我国丁二烯的总生产能力将达到约270.0万吨/年,成为世界重要的丁二烯生产国家之一。而国内依靠劳动密集出口加工经济受国际环境影响,增长速度减缓,对丁二烯下游需求增长将减缓,2011年总消费量约170.0万吨,短期产品供应能力可能会过大,因此,2011年我国丁二烯装置只要达到65.0%的开工率即可满足国内市场的需求,长期供应短缺的矛盾将得到彻底解决。 It is estimated that the total production capacity of butadiene in China will reach about 2.7 million tons / year by 2011, becoming one of the most important butadiene production countries in the world. However, due to the labor-intensive export processing economy in China, the growth rate is slowed down due to the international environmental impact. The growth in demand for downstream butadiene will slow down. In 2011, the total consumption will be about 1.7 million tons, and the short-term product supply capacity may be too large. Therefore, China’s butadiene plant as long as 65.0% of the operating rate to meet the needs of the domestic market, the contradiction between long-term supply shortage will be completely resolved.