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与城镇化、工业化协调发展是住房市场健康、稳定发展的基础,因此对住房发展与城镇化、工业化关系的研究具有重要的现实意义和理论价值。笔者选取1995年~2014年相关数据,对住房发展、城镇化和工业化的多项指标进行走势分析,并对主要指标逐一交叉进行Granger检验、协整检验和误差修正模型估计。研究发现,城镇化进程对住房发展的推动作用较为显著,工业化对住房发展的影响主要表现为居住功能的基本需求。
Coordinated development with urbanization and industrialization is the basis for the healthy and steady development of the housing market. Therefore, research on the relationship between housing development and urbanization and industrialization has important practical significance and theoretical value. Based on the data from 1995 to 2014, the author analyzes the trend of many indicators of housing development, urbanization and industrialization. Granger test, co-integration test and error correction model are used to estimate the main indicators one by one. The study found that the process of urbanization has a significant impetus to housing development. The impact of industrialization on housing development is mainly reflected in the basic needs of residential functions.