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本文利用国家层面的时间序列数据,对1978～2014年间国内收入差距、经济发展水平、城市化、失业率、贫困率、社会保障等经济因素和特殊的国家政策因素对犯罪率的影响进行了实证研究,结果发现全国、城市内部、农村内部的收入差距对犯罪率产生了显著的正向影响,城市化进程、失业、贫困等经济现象也提高了中国的犯罪率,而经济增长和刑事严惩则能够有效地减少犯罪率。
Using time-series data at the national level, this paper empirically examines the impact of domestic economic disparities, economic development levels, urbanization, unemployment, poverty rates, social security and other special economic factors on the crime rate between 1978 and 2014 The result shows that the income disparity in the whole country, in the city and in the rural areas has a significant positive impact on the crime rate. The economic phenomena such as urbanization, unemployment and poverty have also raised the crime rate in China. However, the economic growth and penalties Can effectively reduce the crime rate.