在以玛纳斯县城各居委会小区为单元进行震害预测的基础上，分析了人员伤亡数量、社会财富和无家可归人数三项指标在评判高危震害小区中应占有的地位。建立了高危震害小区判定指标公式。指出了玛纳斯县城内的第４、第９ 居委会小区为高危震害小区。把对高危震害小区的判定从单一定性化推向综合定量化做了一次尝试 Based on the prediction of the earthquake damage in the neighborhoods of Manas county, this paper analyzes the status of the three indicators of the number of casualties, social wealth and the number of homeless who should occupy the high-risk earthquake damage area. Established a high-risk seismic cell decision index formula. It points out that the 4th and 9th neighborhood committees in Manas County are high-risk earthquake-hit communities. Attempt at Determining High-risk Residential Districts from Single Qualification to Comprehensive Quantification