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根据主流经济学理论,作为中央政府反周期的重要调控手段,国债政策必须反映经济稳定、持续增长的内在需要,并为这种内在需要服务。因此,衡量国债政策合理性的主要标准就是国债政策是否能够根据宏观经济的变化,适时进行方向及力度、方式的调整,使经济不至于偏离潜在经济增长水平太远。这要求先对我国的潜在经济增长率水平作出判断。
According to the mainstream economic theory, as an important anti-cyclical control measure of the Central Government, the government bond policy must reflect and serve the inherent needs of economic stability and sustained growth. Therefore, the main criterion for measuring the rationality of treasury bonds policy is whether the treasury bonds policy can be adjusted in a timely manner according to changes in the macroeconomic conditions and in a manner that does not deviate from the potential economic growth. This requires first judging the level of potential economic growth in our country.