随着我国工业化、城镇化和农业现代化的深入推进,劳动力市场供应在“刘易斯拐点”也进入了人口红利持续衰减下的价格上升通道。而与之相随的是社会各界对劳动力要素价格上升传导并推动农产品价格及CPI上涨的担忧渐起,普遍的观点认为这一趋势不可避免且长期存在。本文拟在宏观定量分析的基础上,着重就粮食、生猪、蔬菜生产中农业劳动力要素价格上涨对农产品价格及CPI的传导作用进行初步的定量分析。 With the deepening of China’s industrialization, urbanization and agricultural modernization, the labor market supply has also entered the channel of price rise under the continuous decline of demographic dividend. And what followed was the rise of worries over the rise of labor factor prices and the rise of agricultural prices and CPI in all walks of life. The prevailing view is that this trend is inevitable and long-standing. Based on the macroscopical quantitative analysis, this paper focuses on the quantitative analysis of the conduction of agricultural labor price and CPI on the factors of agricultural labor force in the production of grain, pigs and vegetables.