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2011年我国鱼粉行情经历了“先扬后抑”的走势。2010年末国内鱼粉价格受秘鲁捕鱼极不理想推动,价格飙升,2011年年初我国鱼粉价格延续了飙升行情;但2月底以后,随着利多题材逐渐消化、利空题材不断涌现(水产形势尤为不利),国内鱼粉市场开始进入了下跌通道,并持续至2011年末。从2011年我国鱼粉供需基本面来看,进口量同比有所上升,随着鱼粉价格回落至合理区间与生猪养殖效益持续良好,国内鱼粉消费量亦呈现增长格局。步入2012年以后,国内鱼粉弱势行情有望改善,后期我国鱼粉应该是值得期待的。
In 2011, China’s fishmeal market experienced the trend of “Xiangyanghouyu”. As of the end of 2010, the domestic fishmeal price was extremely unsatisfactory driven by the Peruvian fishing. The price soared. In early 2011, the price of fishmeal in our country continued its soaring market. However, with the gradual digestion of the bullish and bearish levies, the bearish theme continued to emerge in late 2011 (the aquatic situation is particularly unfavorable) , The domestic fishmeal market has begun to enter the down channel, and continued until the end of 2011. From the fundamentals of China’s supply and demand of fishmeal in 2011, the import volume increased year-on-year. As the price of fishmeal dropped to a reasonable range and the pig breeding benefit continued to be good, the domestic consumption of fishmeal also showed a pattern of growth. Into 2012, the domestic fish meal weak market is expected to improve, the latter part of China’s fishmeal should be worth the wait.