国家发改委宏观院经济形势分析课题组日前在《中国证券报》上发表权威报告指出,此轮短经济周期的高峰期已过,经济增长正步入周期性调整期。从市场内在趋势看,今后一段时间经济增长将逐步向下调整,但地方政府存在明显的“逆市场”冲动,使投资增长调整缓慢。(一)国民经济继续高位 National Development and Reform Commission macroeconomic analysis of the economic situation Task Force recently published in the “China Securities News” authoritative report pointed out that the current round of short-term economic cycle has passed the peak, economic growth is entering a period of cyclical adjustment. Judging from the inherent trend in the market, the economic growth will gradually be adjusted downwards in the near future. However, there is a clear impulse of “counter-market” to local governments and the adjustment of investment growth is slow. (A) the national economy continues high