Gridded reconstruction of the population in the traditional cultivated region of China from 1776 to

来源 :中国科学:地球科学(英文版) | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:sheryme
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
Using modern census and environmental factor data,this study first identified the environmental factors that significantly affect the population distribution through Geodetector analysis and then constructed a population spatial dis-tribution model based on the random forest regression algorithm.Finally,with this model and historical population data that were examined and corrected by historians,gridded population distributions with a spatial resolution of 10 km by 10 km in the traditional cultivated region of China(TCRC,hereafter)were reconstructed for six time slices from 1776 to 1953.Using the reconstruction dataset,the spatiotemporal characteristics of the population distribution were depicted.The results showed that(1)the environmental factors that significantly affected the population density differences among counties in the TCRC mainly consisted of elevation,slope,relief amplitude,distances to the nearest prefectural and provincial capitals,distance to the nearest river and the climatology moisture index.(2)Using the census data of 1934 counties in the TCRC in 2000 and the above-mentioned environmental factor data,a random forest regression algorithm-based population spatial distribution model was constructed.Its determination coefficient(R2)is 0.81.In 88.4%of the counties(districts),the relative errors of the model predictions were less than 50%.(3)From 1776 to 1953,the total population in the study area showed an uptrend.Prior to 1851,the population increased mainly in the Yangtze River Delta.During this period,the number of grid cells in which the population densities were greater than 500 persons per km2 increased from 292 to 683.From 1851 to 1953,the population increased extensively across the study area.In the North China Plain and the Pearl River Delta,the number of grid cells in which the population densities were greater than 500 persons per km2 increased from 36 to 88 and from 4 to 35,respectively.The spatial clustering pattern of the population distribution varied temporally.The potential reasons included the shifts in economic development hot spots,traditional beliefs,wars,famine,and immigration policies.(4)Between our reconstructions and the HYDE dataset,there are large differences in the data sources,selected environmental factors and modeling methods.As a consequence,in comparison to our reconstructions,there were fewer populations in the eastern area and more populations in the western area from 1776 to 1851 and more populations in urban areas and fewer populations in rural areas after 1851 in the HYDE dataset.
其他文献
本文使用2011-2019年美国汽车市场数据,测度了1354款车型的需求价格弹性和替代弹性,在识别了原产地规则限制度对合规车型售价影响的基础上,反事实模拟测算了《美墨加协定》汽车原产地规则调整的经济效应.研究发现:(1)美国汽车市场上各款车型的需求价格弹性和替代弹性是异质性的;(2)以北美区域价值含量为代理变量的原产地规则与美国汽车市场上合规车型售价呈正向相关关系,与不合规车型售价呈U型关系;(3)《美墨加协定》汽车原产地规则限制度的提升,会对需要调整采购决策以继续合规的车型销量产生负向冲击,其他车型受市
社会主义市场经济制度的重要命题是在市场经济条件下让劳动价值得到充分实现,通过市场机制实现按劳分配.可以探索通过劳动股权实现劳动者与生产资料的直接结合,赋予其资本属性,让劳动像资本一样参与剩余价值的分配.劳动股权并不排斥资本权益,而是以平等的地位与之共存.劳动股权也不是市场经济条件下体现社会主义性质的唯一方式,但它可以成为中国多种所有制长期并存的基本经济制度中实现劳动价值、促进共同富裕的一个探索方向.社会主义市场经济制度的建立与发展使我们有可能在世界范围内为劳动价值新的实现形式提供中国方案,从而为人类探索先
基于贸易比较优势视角,本文通过理论和实证估计检验中国贸易大国进程中,进口规模与结构对城市创新的影响.采用中国海关数据库,本文构建了地级市层面不同产品种类的进口指标,并且以供给侧比较优势及分解指标作为中介变量,进一步揭示进口结构对城市创新的影响.研究结果表明:初级产品和资本品进口通过降低产品多样化和平均质量优势抑制创新,而中间品和消费品进口则通过提升产品多样化和平均质量优势促进创新;长三角和珠三角城市群的中间品进口创新促进效应显著;金融危机后,零部件、资本品对城市创新的影响“由抑转促”.由此,我国在转向贸易
Virtual prototypes (VPs) are crucial in today\'s design flow.VPs are predominantly created in SystemC transaction-level modeling (TLM) and are leveraged for early software development and other system-level use cases.Recently,virtual prototyping has bee
文章以高技术产业为研究对象,基于技术协同视角探讨了不同国外技术获取方式对本土创新驱动全要素生产率(TFP)提升的协同效应及其机制,以选择出与新时代发展目标相匹配的国外技术获取方式.研究结果显示:进口与对外直接投资(OFDI)有助于本土创新驱动TFP提升,外商直接投资(FDI)短期内呈阻碍效应而后不显著,技术引进整体不显著;自主创新在2年内可基本完成进口和OFDI渠道的中等级技术消化吸收并显现协同效应,而高等级技术分别需要4~5年及3~4年,考虑创新至产出的反应时间,最终对TFP的影响需再增加1年;自主创新
Lacustrine shale is an important target for the exploration of unconventional oil and gas in China beyond marine shale gas.However,the formation environment of lacustrine shale differs from that of marine shale,resulting in a different reservoir compositi
As a typhoon approaches the continent,the position where anthropogenic aerosols penetrate,the convection competition between the eyewall and peripheral rainbands,and the separate contributions of direct aerosol-radiation interactions(ARI) and indirect aer
Metal nanoparticles are extensively used as catalysts in heterogeneous catalysis.Microscopically,the surface of metal nanoparticles contains metal atoms located at the edges,comers and terraces of the lattice planes,presenting low-and high-coordinated met
期刊
目前,中国制造业亟待高质量发展.人工智能对促进当代中国制造业高质量发展有着重要的作用和意义.文章运用相关理论,探索了人工智能如何促进中国制造业高质量发展的本质、机理以及作用路径.人工智能促进了制造业相对剩余价值的生产,通过影响技术水平提高了制造业的劳动生产率,通过影响制度条件改善了制造业的营商环境,通过影响经济条件增加了制造业的利润.同时,文章结合人工智能作用于中国制造业高质量发展的现状,运用实证分析进一步证实了我们应该充分利用人工智能促进中国制造业高质量发展,并提出了加强人工智能基础理论研究及关键技术突
Classical estuary circulation theory states that in the longitudinal direction of an estuary there exists a single circulation with landward,near-bottom,and seaward,near-surface flows;however,the situation becomes complicated with the presence of a river