金融危机之后,中国经济逐步进入波动下行阶段,其中既有全球严重危机冲击的偶发性、外部性因素影响,也有中国潜在经济增长水平下台阶的规律性、内部性因素作用。中国经济能否实现平稳增长,中国经济与世界经济的联动关系如何,中国经济面临何种问题,支持中国经济的发展动力在哪里?这些问题成为当前社会各界关注的焦点。经济减速缘自“爬坡过坎”中国的经济列车正处在转方式、调结构和“爬坡过坎”的复杂路况,并非行驶在笔直的高速轨道上。这是观察当前经济走势最基本的出发点,否则难免产生误判。当前,我国经济正处于的“增长速度换挡期、结构调 After the financial crisis, China’s economy gradually entered the downward phase of volatility. In addition to the sporadic and exogenous factors of the global crisis and the regularity and internal factors of the potential economic growth in China, Whether the Chinese economy can achieve steady growth, what is the linkage between China’s economy and the world economy, what are the problems facing the Chinese economy, and where is the motive force behind China’s economic development? These issues have become the focus of attention of all circles in the community at present. The economic slowdown is due to the fact that ”China’s economic trains are turning around, shifting structures and complex road conditions that“ climb over the ridge, ”instead of traveling in straight, high-speed orbits. This is the most basic starting point for observing the current economic trend, otherwise it will inevitably result in miscarriage of justice. At present, the economy of our country is in the process of shifting the pace of growth and structural adjustment