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在分析“发展”和“规模”双重特征的基础上,界定发展中大国的涵义,并通过k-means cluster聚类分析遴选中国、印度、俄罗斯、巴西、墨西哥、印度尼西亚、巴基斯坦、尼日利亚、埃及、埃塞俄比亚、伊朗、南非、刚果(金)共13个发展中大国。然后,通过指标体系构建和AHP分析评价33个主要发展中国家的综合影响力、自然影响力、经济影响力、产业影响力、区域影响力以及治理影响力水平。研究表明:当今世界发展中大国的综合影响力在不断上升,但与其他发展中国家之间的综合影响力差异也在不断扩大;发展中大国的自然影响力、经济影响力、产业影响力、区域影响力以及治理影响力,奠定了其重要的国际地位。
Based on the analysis of the dual characteristics of “development ” and “size ”, we define the meaning of big developing countries and select China, India, Russia, Brazil, Mexico, Indonesia, Pakistan, Nigeria, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, South Africa, the Democratic Republic of the Congo a total of 13 developing countries. Then, through the index system construction and AHP analysis, the comprehensive influence, natural influence, economic influence, industrial influence, regional influence and governance influence of 33 major developing countries are evaluated. The research shows that the comprehensive influence of big powers in the development of the world is on the rise, but the differences in comprehensive influence with other developing countries are also expanding. The natural influence, economic influence, industrial influence, Regional influence and governance influence, has laid its important international status.