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针对恐怖袭击风险控制的问题,提出运用社会网络分析对恐怖袭击风险进行控制的方法。首先根据社会网络与恐怖组织之间的相似性,运用社会网路分析技术对恐怖组织网络进行建模,构建恐怖组织的社会网络原型;然后运用有序集理论,计算抓捕一定数量的恐怖分子后整个恐怖组织被破坏的概率。研究表明,在完全二叉树的恐怖组织网络中,控制恐怖组织一半以上的成员,就可以达到削弱恐怖组织的攻击能力的目的。
To control the risk of terrorist attacks, this paper proposes a method of using social network analysis to control the risk of terrorist attacks. Firstly, according to the similarities between social networks and terrorist organizations, we use social network analysis techniques to model the networks of terrorist organizations and construct the social network prototypes of terrorist organizations. Then, we use the ordered set theory to calculate and arrest a certain number of terrorists After the entire terrorist organization is destroyed probability. Research shows that in a completely binary tree of terrorist networks, controlling more than half of the members of terrorist groups can achieve the purpose of weakening the attack capabilities of terrorist organizations.