决策的基础和前提。决策者的决策依靠对事件发展状况的分析和判断,而这些分析和判断的依据来源于预测。没有正确的预测,就没有正确的决策。可见预测是决策、特別是战略决策科学化的前提。各级决策者应该把建立广泛的信息渠道,收集各种信息,当做一项不可忽视的基础工作,并经过去粗取精、去伪存真的加工整理之后才能使用。无论是决策者还是预测者,都不应该对某些信息偏爱或排斥,必须全面地、客观地接收信息,并随时注意贮存。在没有充分占有信息的情况下,不能做出好的 The basis and premise of the decision. Decision-makers’ decisions rely on the analysis and judgment of the development of events, and the basis for these analyses and judgments comes from predictions. Without a correct prediction, there is no correct decision. Visible forecasting is a prerequisite for the scientific decision-making, especially for strategic decisions. Decision makers at all levels should establish a wide range of information channels and collect all kinds of information as a basic work that cannot be ignored, and can only be used after they have been roughed up and refined to the extent that they are actually processed and sorted out. Neither decision makers nor predictors should favor or reject certain information. They must receive information in a comprehensive and objective manner and pay attention to storage at any time. Can’t make good without full possession of information