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1984年美国经济出现了五十年代以来的最高增长率6.6%,但1985年的增长率大幅下降,只有2.3%。包括作者在内的许多人曾估计美国今年下半年或明年可能出现新的经济衰退。可是,去年底以来石油价格暴跌;至今年4月份下降幅度达60%。油价下跌给西方石油进口国带来了“福音”。国际经济机构和各国政府纷纷调高原来预测的增长率。里根政府预计今年美国经济增长率将达3.4%,明年将继续增长4%。
In 1984, the U.S. economy showed its highest growth rate of 6.6% since the 1950s, but its growth rate dropped sharply in 1985 at only 2.3%. Many, including the author, have estimated that the United States may see a new economic recession in the second half of this year or next. However, the price of oil plummeted since the end of last year; it dropped by 60% in April this year. The fall in oil prices has brought “good news” to Western oil importers. International economic agencies and governments all raised their originally predicted growth rates. The Reagan administration predicts that the U.S. economy will grow by 3.4% this year and will continue to grow by 4% next year.