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中国急需分步实施、建立适合自身发展的急缺矿产资源战略储备体系,作为其基础的战略储备量的合理确定应先行。文章在分析急缺矿产资源战略储备量常用确定方法的基础上,利用现实可供量与趋势需求量的波动关系构建了急缺矿产资源战略储备量的确定模型,并以精炼铜为例进行了演示,初步确定2008年底中国精炼铜战略储备的合理规模为46.11万t。
China urgently needs to implement step by step and establish a strategic reserve system for its scarce mineral resources suitable for its own development. The reasonable determination of the strategic reserve as its basis should be carried out first. Based on the analysis of common methods to determine the strategic reserve of scarce mineral resources, the paper establishes the model of determining the strategic reserve of scarce mineral resources by using the relationship between available quantity and trend demand. Taking refined copper as an example, Demonstration, tentatively determined that the reasonable scale of China’s refined copper strategic reserve at the end of 2008 was 461,100 tons.