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2017年三季度,受房地产收紧效果显现、“环保风暴”以及季节性因素等的影响,中国经济始于去年四季度的企稳回升动能有所减弱。预计三季度GDP增长6.7%左右,较上半年回落0.2个百分点,与上年同期持平(见图1);CPI上涨1.8%左右,同比小幅回升。展望四季度,外部环境总体向好,新动能强劲增长,企业盈利持续改善,中国经济总体将保持平稳运行。但经济运行中的不稳定性也在增加,应予以密切关注。外贸增长
In the third quarter of 2017, due to the real estate tightening effect, the “Environmental Storm” and seasonal factors, China’s economy started to have weaker momentum of stabilization and recovery from the fourth quarter of last year. Expected third quarter GDP growth of about 6.7%, down 0.2 percentage points over the first half, unchanged from the same period a year earlier (see Figure 1); CPI rose 1.8%, up slightly. Looking to the fourth quarter, the overall external environment is promising. With strong new momentum, corporate profits continued to improve, and the overall Chinese economy will remain stable. However, the instability in economic operation is also on the increase and should be closely monitored. Foreign trade growth