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8月份,国储玉米第六、七次拍卖力度增加至250万吨,且成交率明显好转,交通便利的辽宁地区成交率甚至达到99.5%。拍卖成交率的提高一方面是市场粮源紧张的体现,另一方面也是由于市场担忧东北地区干旱将造成减产所致。相比之下,国储大豆七次拍卖都几乎流拍,主要是因为拍卖价格过高,国家将补贴大豆加工企业的传言加大了竞拍企业的观望心理。在诸多利空多因素的影响下,后期豆粕价格走势并不明朗。8月份猪肉和鸡蛋价格持续上涨,引发了市场对农产品价格上涨将导致通货膨胀的担忧。市场利好消息不断,消费旺季即将到来以及双节来临对猪肉、鸡蛋、油脂的消费增加,使得养殖户利润上升,补栏信心增加,对饲料的需求也将上升。全国猪肉零售价格连续11周回升,同时生猪出场价、仔猪价格、猪粮比、生猪养殖利润都持续上涨。导致农产品价格上涨的原因主要是国家宏观经济向好和消费的季节性因素,预计三季度猪肉价格继续走高,年末至明年初猪肉价格明显上涨。
In August, the sixth and seventh auction of State Reserve Corn increased to 2.5 million tons, and the transaction rate was obviously improved. The turnover rate in Liaoning Province, which enjoys convenient transportation, even reached 99.5%. The improvement of the auction turnover rate is one of the reasons for the tight grain supply in the market on the one hand, and also due to market worries that the drought in the northeast will result in a decrease in production. In contrast, the State Reserve soybean auction seven are almost brisk, mainly because the auction price is too high, the state subsidies soybean processing enterprises rumors increase the wait-and-see business psychology. Under the influence of many negative factors, the price trend of post-soybean meal is not clear. Prices of pork and eggs continued to rise in August, triggering concerns that rising agricultural prices will cause inflation. The market continued good news, the upcoming consumer season and the advent of double on the pork, eggs, oil consumption increases, making farmers profit up, back bar confidence, the demand for feed will rise. National pork retail prices rose for 11 consecutive weeks, while hog appearances, piglet prices, pig food ratio, pig breeding profits continued to rise. The main causes of the agricultural price hikes are the seasonal macroeconomic factors and consumer spending. It is expected that pork prices will continue to rise in the third quarter and pork prices will rise sharply from the end of the year to the beginning of next year.