尽管改革开放以后中国的出口贸易在量上已取得了前所未有的突破,但在质的发展上却仍令人担忧。2006年,在9691亿美元的骄人出口业绩下,却隐藏着5%之多的外贸高坏账率。居高不下的外贸坏账率,必将严重影响中国整个外贸业的长期发展。因此,寻求高外贸坏账率的解决之道也就迫在眉睫。本文构建了一个多阶段动态博弈模型,分析出口贸易过程中形成高坏账率的主要机理,同时,也给出了防范外贸高坏账率的相应政策建议。 Although China’s export trade has made unprecedented breakthroughs in terms of volume after the reform and opening up, it is still worrying about its qualitative development. In 2006, under the impressive export performance of 969.1 billion U.S. dollars, it has hidden 5% of foreign high bad debt ratios. The persistently high bad debt ratio of foreign trade will certainly seriously affect the long-term development of China’s entire foreign trade industry. Therefore, it is extremely urgent to seek a solution to the high bad debt ratio of foreign trade. This paper constructs a multi-stage dynamic game model to analyze the main mechanism of forming high-negligence rate in the process of export trade. At the same time, it also gives corresponding policy recommendations for preventing high-debt ratios in foreign trade.