论文部分内容阅读
中国工业化进程中政府起到了重要作用。本文立足于新中国工业化历程,在动态经济学框架内,讨论政府通过对劳动密集型产业征税而对资本密集型产业扶持来推动工业化的问题。在理论模型的基础上,通过数值模拟,分析了稳态下税率与各经济部门的资本、产出以及社会总资本、总产出存在的倒“U”型关系,并且对税率与政府税收之间的倒“U”型关系进行了讨论。本文认为政府对劳动密集型产业过度提取不仅不利于劳动密集型产业发展,也不利于经济总量与政府税收的增长,甚至不利于资本密集型产业的可持续增长。本研究与结论部分解释了历史上我国优先发展重工业难以维系的原因,并部分揭示了当前亟需调整经济结构的内在机理。
The government played an important role in China’s industrialization. Based on the process of industrialization in new China, this paper discusses the issue of industrialization promoted by the government through the taxation of labor-intensive industries and the support of capital-intensive industries within the framework of dynamic economics. On the basis of the theoretical model, through the numerical simulation, the relationship between the tax rate under steady state and the capital, output, total social capital and total output of the various economic sectors is analyzed and the relationship between the tax rate and the government Taxes between the inverted “U ” type of relationship were discussed. This paper argues that the over-extraction of labor-intensive industries by the government is not only unfavorable to the development of labor-intensive industries, but also unfavorable to the growth of total economy and government revenue or even the sustainable growth of capital-intensive industries. This part of the study and conclusion explains in part the reason why it is difficult for China to prioritize the development of heavy industry in history and partly reveals the inherent mechanism of the urgent need to readjust the economic structure.