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10月8日、9日,甲醇期货连续两个交易日大幅上涨,但是突破60日均线未果后,转而掉头向下,开启了长达3周的跌势。即使10月29日隔夜外盘原油暴涨6.43%,甲醇期货也只是日内冲高回落,甲醇期货指数更是在10月30日创出历史新低。进入11月,随着上游消费旺季到来,成本塌陷将终结,加之供给和消费端都有一定的好转。笔者由此认为,甲醇短期继续下跌的空间不大,低位振荡或为常态。下游需求维持稳定受经济疲软的影响,甲醇传统的消费领域甲醛和二甲醚的需求持续低迷。但是10月的第4
October 8, 9, methanol futures rose sharply for two consecutive sessions, but after breaking the 60-day moving average failed, turned around and turned down, opening up to 3 weeks of decline. Even if the October 29 crude oil soared 6.43% overnight, methanol futures only finished lower day days, the methanol futures index even hit a record low on October 30. Into November, with the arrival of the upstream consumer season, the cost collapse will come to an end, combined with the supply and consumption side has a certain improvement. Therefore, I believe that methanol short-term decline in the room is not large, low oscillation or normalcy. Downstream demand remains stable Affected by the weak economy, the demand for methanol and dimethyl ether, the traditional consumption area of methanol, continues to be sluggish. But the fourth in October