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对于供给和需求的两个“底”到底在何方?国务院发展研究中心原副主任刘世锦最近表示,投资要触底就是基础建设、制造业和房地产“三只靴子”要落地。2015年8月份以后,房地产投资的单月同比已经出现了负增长,房地产投资如果能触底,这“三只靴子”基本上就落下来了,从需求侧来看,整个中国经济基本就触底了。从供给侧主要看另外两个指标,一个是PPI开始回升,二是工业企业利润由负转正并保持适度增长。
Liu Shih-chin, former deputy director of the State Council Development Research Center, recently said that investments must hit the bottom is infrastructure, manufacturing and real estate. The “three boots” will have to land. Since August 2015, real-estate investment has shown a negative growth year-on-year year on year. If real estate investment bottoms out, the “three boots” basically fall. From the demand side, the entire Chinese economy basically Bottoming out Mainly from the supply side look at the other two indicators, one is the PPI began to pick up, and second, the profits of industrial enterprises from negative to positive and maintain modest growth.