地震及经济环境变化对经济发展的影响——来自四川的最新经验证据

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由于全球金融危机,我国宏观经济态势骤变,加之“5.12”特大地震的持续影响,四川省经济发展出现了诸多新的情况和变化。研究发现,四川省投资和消费对经济增长拉动作用有巨大落差,形成消费拉动型的经济结构存在很大潜力;近期四川省的投资、产出和消费环节存在脱节现象,市场中微观经济主体亟待保护和扶持;四川居民消费存在“理性迷茫”现象,且拉动内需和保障民生需要进一步结合。在应对地震后续影响及外部经济冲击时,四川省需要更加灵活务实地采取应对措施,实现社会福利和经济福利的双向增进。 Due to the global financial crisis, the sudden change of macroeconomic situation in our country and the continuous impact of the “5.12” earthquake, many new developments and changes have taken place in the economic development in Sichuan Province. The study found that investment and consumption in Sichuan Province have a huge gap between economic growth and the formation of consumer-driven economic structure; there is a disconnect between the investment, output and consumption sectors in Sichuan Province recently, and the main microeconomics in the market is urgently needed Protection and support; there is “rational confusion” in the consumption of residents in Sichuan, and it needs to be further integrated with stimulating domestic demand and ensuring people’s livelihood. In response to the follow-up earthquake impact and external economic impact, Sichuan needs to take a more flexible and pragmatic response measures to achieve a two-way increase in social welfare and economic welfare.
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